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Best Starting XI
Suggested waivers
Best pick-ups for your squad and who to drop for them, ranked by expected points gained.
★ Watchlist
Free agents
Waiver planner
Predicted lineups
Fixture ticker
Every team, sorted by its average over the gameweeks shown. Click a team to see all its remaining fixtures. Drag the table sideways for other gameweeks.
Team news
How much injuries and suspensions weaken each team's attack (expected goals) next gameweek. This is already built into every number on the site.
Live bonus points
Click to read how bonus worksEvery match this gameweek with the players in line for bonus, from FPL's live BPS (bonus points system) scores. Updates every minute while matches are on. Until FPL confirms it shortly after full time, bonus is provisional: the top 3 by BPS get 3, 2 and 1, and tied players share the higher amount. Defensive contributions show everyone within 4 of the +2, which takes 10 for defenders and 12 for midfielders and forwards.
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All players
League
Season simulator
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2,000 seasonsThe rest of the season is played out 2,000 times.
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Projected pointsEvery remaining match uses each squad's projected points, with the usual week-to-week swings.Every remaining gameweek adds each squad's projected points to its total, with the usual week-to-week swings.
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Your chancesHow often each team finishes top, in the top 3, or bottom.
Table
Next matches
Projected points are points already scored plus expected points still to come; percentages are each side's chance of winning.
Power rankings & luck
Next 5 GWs: each squad's projected best-XI points, so who is strongest from here. All-play: the record a team would have if it played everyone every week. Comparing that with the real table shows who has been lucky (+) or unlucky (−) with fixtures.
Waiver History
Every accepted waiver and free agent pick-up this season. Points only count in gameweeks the team started the player it picked up, against the dropped player's points in those same gameweeks.
Best run
Each team's most wins in a row this season, and its average points per game during that run.
Analytics
Points
Where every team's points have come from this season, counting only the players in each starting XI (after automatic substitutions). Hover over or tap a team to see the breakdown.
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Starters vs bench
Points from each team's starting XI against the points left on its bench
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Useful scorers
How many times a starter scored 4 or more points
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Points by position
Each team's starting-XI points from goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders and forwards
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Points by stat
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Rest of the league
Lineups
Live table
Trade builder
See what a trade really does to your team, not just who scores more.
How toBuild the deal, see what it's really worth.
- Build the dealTap the players you'd give and the ones you want, then choose how many weeks ahead to look.
- Only starters countA player's points only count in the weeks they'd be in your best starting XI. A star who'd sit on your bench adds nothing, and anyone from your bench who steps in for a player you trade away is counted too.
- Get a straight answerSee how many points you gain, whether it's fair enough that they're likely to say yes, and a week-by-week breakdown. Or open Ideas for swaps that suit both sides.
You give
You get
Trades both sides should like
1-for-1 swaps that improve your best XI without making theirs worse, so they're more likely to say yes.
Completed trades
How the numbers work
- What kind of model: a statistical model, not machine learning or AI. It's built from established football statistics (expected goals, opponent-adjusted team ratings and goal-probability maths) plus the betting markets' prices, and its settings are chosen by testing them on past matches. Every number can be traced back to the data behind it.
- xPts (expected points) uses your league's scoring rules. It covers each player's chance of playing and of playing 60+ minutes (from recent games), goals and assists from their expected goals (xG) and assists (xA) per 90 minutes, clean sheets, goals conceded, saves, defensive contributions, bonus and cards. Every number is adjusted for how many goals each team is expected to score and concede in that match.
- Match odds: each match's expected goals blend the betting markets (the major UK bookmakers' prices) with our own model, with the weighting chosen by testing on past matches. Matches the bookmakers haven't priced yet, usually anything after the next two gameweeks, use team ratings worked out from the market's latest prices. Win, draw and clean sheet chances all come from these expected goals.
- Team strength (our own model's part) starts from last season's results and shots on target (promoted teams start at the level of the sides that went down). This season's matches then take over: they mix xG with real goals, allow for opponent quality and give recent games more weight, while last season fades out week by week.
- Team news: when a player is injured, suspended or doubtful, their team's expected goals drop by that player's share of the team's usual goal threat. The replacement is assumed to make up part of it. As well as FPL's own flags, we read the latest news and press conferences: when several independent outlets report a player out, doubtful or back before FPL has updated, that counts until FPL catches up.
- CS% is the chance of keeping a clean sheet. Start% is the chance of starting, from the predicted lineups.
- Fixture colours: green is good and red is bad. For keepers and defenders the colour shows clean sheet chance; for midfielders and forwards it shows how many goals the team is expected to score.
- Predicted lineups come from recent starts (last week counts most), injury and suspension news, and each team's usual formation. When a starter is out, the team-mates in the same position who already get minutes pick up those starts, and their expected points rise.
- How often it updates: the model re-runs every 10 minutes. The betting markets' odds are checked twice a day and again just before each deadline, and news and press conferences are read every 30 minutes (every 15 in the two days before a deadline). That's why the numbers can move during the day.
- Under the hood:
- Bookmaker prices are de-margined (the bookmakers' built-in margin removed) and averaged across the major UK books, then converted into each side's expected goals.
- A market–model ensemble, with the weighting chosen by backtest.
- Fixtures not yet priced use market-implied attack and defence ratings, fitted to the latest prices.
- Our own team ratings are solved iteratively, adjusting every result for opponent strength and venue, with recent matches weighted more heavily (exponential time decay).
- Scorelines follow a Poisson goal model, which turns expected goals into win, draw and clean sheet probabilities.
- Players with few minutes are shrunk towards the average for their position until their own numbers are reliable.
- Press reports must be confirmed by multiple independent outlets before they count.
- The season simulator is a Monte Carlo simulation: the rest of the season is played out 2,000 times.
- Validated on 3,660 out-of-sample predictions across three seasons.
- Tested and measured: every change to the model is checked against real results it hadn't seen, and only kept if it helps.
- Using the betting markets to predict matches 1 to 4 weeks ahead beat ratings built from results alone in every one of the last three seasons (3,660 predictions, 2023/24 to 2025/26).
- Once the markets were added, our top 5 picks in each position scored about 8% more real points (gameweeks 2 to 9 this season).
- Our predicted lineups named 85.5% of the real starters across gameweeks 2 to 9 (1,738 players), replayed with the injury news available at each deadline.
- Clean sheet chances match reality to within 1 point: we predicted 29% across gameweeks 2 to 9, and 30% of teams kept one.